Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe0ac…2f8d crypto 218 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$318 (+9%) realized +$318 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate64%140W / 78L
Drawdown44%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day59.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$100
7 days+$281
14 days+$281
30 days+$281
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$292
other 1% −$15
sports 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -2.7% -12.0% 65% 55% -2.3%
≤30d 218 -3.0% -12.2% 64% 55% -2.3%
≤90d 218 -3.0% -12.2% 64% 55% -2.3%
all 218 -3.0% -12.2% 64% 55% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 55% -2.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 44% -11.7%
15% -28.3% 32% -20.2%
20% -35.3% 22% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +8% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$7 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.54 per $1 lost it wins $1.54
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$318
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses140 / 78
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)218 / 218
History coverage12d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 218 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$4 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $43 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 16 $11 −$7 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $43 +$13 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$7 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $18 −$15 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$17 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$44 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$15 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $83 +$27 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$17 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$7 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$6 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $14 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $48 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 857 history records