Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe0a8…82e0
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$41
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses26 / 18
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)44 / 47
History coverage10d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$38
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-5%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 68¢ 68¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Over 77¢ 75¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners Jun 14 $20 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$17 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$12 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$20 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$11 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$10 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $64 −$13 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Alexis Vega: 1+ shots Jun 11 $13 −$13 -94%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9 $0 -3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$25
other 6% −$16
sports 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 10¢ $19 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners SELL Over 56¢ $19 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 68¢ $8 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 77¢ $6 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners BUY Over 59¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -7.5% -16.3% 62% 33% -14.1%
≤30d 44 -10.4% -18.9% 59% 32% -14.5%
≤90d 44 -10.4% -18.9% 59% 32% -14.5%
all 44 -10.4% -18.9% 59% 32% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 32% -14.5%
10% -26.7% 25% -22.6%
15% -33.8% 18% -30.1%
20% -40.2% 5% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.26 · official $31.26 (match) · 160 history records