trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 17 | $1,187 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $1,259 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | May 20 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 17 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 17 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 17 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | May 17 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 16 | $750 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | May 16 | $715 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 16 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 16 | $782 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 16 | $785 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 15 | $753 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 14 | $728 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 14 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 14 | $713 | −$1 | -0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 14 | $752 | −$6 | -1% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 08 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 07 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Apr 07 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 03 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on | Apr 03 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 03 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $77 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $46 | $0 | -0% |