Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:07:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe0a3…f11d crypto 1047 markets active 3d ago coverage 52d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$189 (-2%) realized −$189 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate58%610W / 437L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day52.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$55
14 days−$219
30 days−$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$277
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 274 -32.9% -39.3% 41% 40% -16.3%
≤30d 523 -18.8% -26.6% 42% 31% -12.3%
≤90d 1047 -12.0% -20.4% 58% 30% -12.6%
all 1047 -12.0% -20.4% 58% 30% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 30% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 20% -21.0%
15% -35.0% 16% -28.6%
20% -41.3% 11% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$189
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses610 / 437
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1047 / 1047
History coverage52d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day52.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1047 Trades
no open positions (199 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records