trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 40% | 40% | +22.3% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +43.8% | +30.1% | 46% | 46% | +43.8% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +33.7% | +21.0% | 42% | 42% | -57.6% |
| all | 28 | +29.4% | +17.1% | 43% | 43% | +5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +17.1% | 43% | +5.1% |
| 10% | +5.9% | 43% | -5.0% |
| 15% | -4.3% | 43% | -14.1% |
| 20% | -13.7% | 36% | -22.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$91 | +90% |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $51 | −$31 | -62% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $102 | +$354 | +346% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $303 | +$138 | +46% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$11 | -22% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Morocco? | Jun 22 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $41 | +$141 | +344% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$71 | +70% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $202 | +$125 | +62% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 19 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic? | Jun 19 | $31 | +$96 | +312% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$114 | +223% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | +$348 | +340% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$50 | -50% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$192 | +188% |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Apr 19 | $4,332 | −$4,332 | -100% |
| Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Apr 19 | $999 | −$745 | -75% |
| Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial elect | Mar 23 | $1,000 | −$956 | -96% |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Aug 21 | $23,209 | +$9,950 | +43% |