Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:15:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe09a…8ff4 crypto 60 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (181 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+1%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate60%36W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day181.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$13
sports 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (181 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -6.1% -15.1% 60% 43% -12.4%
≤30d 60 -6.1% -15.1% 60% 43% -12.4%
≤90d 60 -6.1% -15.1% 60% 43% -12.4%
all 60 -6.1% -15.1% 60% 43% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover181.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 43% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 30% -20.8%
15% -30.6% 25% -28.4%
20% -37.4% 15% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses36 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day181.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +15%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $23 −$12 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $16 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 208 history records