Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:37:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe096…be8e other 338 markets active 17d ago coverage 45d
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$415 (+0%) realized +$415 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -53% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -64% what you keep after slip
Net edge-64%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate15%52W / 286L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown82%max
Avg bet$363per market
Trades / day52.9pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 45d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$3,896
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-57.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 88 -54.7% -59.0% 22% 14% -9.5%
≤90d 338 -53.0% -57.5% 15% 12% -6.7%
all 338 -53.0% -57.5% 15% 12% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.5% 12% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -61.5% 9% -15.6%
15% -65.3% 7% -23.8%
20% -68.7% 6% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -53% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -42% → late -64% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$575 vs −$91 · ×6.32 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.15 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$415
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses52 / 286
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)338 / 338
History coverage45d
Avg bet$363
Trades / day52.9
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 338 Trades
no open positions (270 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 16 $98 +$31 +32%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $30 +$84 +285%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1,809 +$277 +15%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1,777 +$195 +11%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $685 −$685 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $117 −$117 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1,065 +$146 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $186 +$257 +138%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $289 +$24 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,489 −$278 -19%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $1,076 −$127 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $370 +$148 +40%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $918 +$62 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 08 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,447 −$61 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $646 −$133 -21%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $765 +$298 +39%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $96 +$8 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 05 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $667 −$293 -44%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $179 −$151 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $949 +$150 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $898 +$5 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $998 −$526 -53%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 03 $46 −$46 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 03 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $30 16d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 16d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 28¢ $248 16d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $780 16d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 82¢ $118 16d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $9 16d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $37 16d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $100 16d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $551 17d
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $811 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $67 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $7 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $36 17d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 17d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 76¢ $98 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $29 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $44 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $96 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $30 17d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $48 17d
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 83¢ $71 17d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $6 17d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $26 17d
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $882 17d
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $22 17d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 52¢ $343 17d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 52¢ $94 17d
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $23 17d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $13 17d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $52 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2562 history records