Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:13:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe093…1a5e
sports · 155 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$707 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$679 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$679
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses104 / 49
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions2
Markets (closed)153 / 155
History coverage731d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$12
14 days−$7
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 90¢ 95¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+6%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 62¢ 68¢ $16 $17 +$2 (+10%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 49¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Heat Heat 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Suns vs. Spurs Suns 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Capitals Capitals 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks Ducks 65¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Heat Heat 34¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Canucks vs. Wild Canucks 22¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Magic Magic 87¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Heat vs. Pacers Heat 79¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Rockets Hawks 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B LOUD 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bruins vs. Sabres Sabres 65¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Trail Blazers 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves 57¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Jets vs. Rangers Rangers 52¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Red Wings vs. Rangers Red Wings 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $46 −$14 -30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $55 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $49 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $69 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $59 +$1 +1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 31 $67 +$4 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26? May 26 $102 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23? May 23 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? May 22 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21? May 21 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20? May 20 $39 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18? May 18 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17? May 17 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15? May 15 $38 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14? May 14 $44 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13? May 13 $85 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12? May 12 $43 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11? May 11 $43 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10? May 10 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9? May 09 $40 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8? May 08 $42 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7? May 07 $42 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1? May 01 $60 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $65 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 22? Apr 22 $60 $0 +0%
Wild vs. Senators Apr 05 $72 +$78 +108%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Apr 04 $18 +$32 +186%
Flyers vs. Islanders Apr 04 $43 +$57 +133%
Blues vs. Ducks Apr 04 $129 +$171 +133%
Red Wings vs. Rangers Apr 03 $28 −$28 -100%
Bruins vs. Panthers Apr 03 $82 +$118 +144%
Canadiens vs. Rangers Apr 03 $174 +$126 +72%
Canucks vs. Wild Apr 02 $44 −$44 -100%
Hawks vs. Magic Apr 02 $62 +$38 +61%
Bucks vs. Rockets Apr 02 $186 +$14 +8%
Cavaliers vs. Lakers Apr 01 $108 +$92 +85%
Celtics vs. Heat Apr 01 $36 −$35 -98%
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? Apr 01 $4 $0 +10%
Islanders vs. Sabres Apr 01 $90 +$50 +56%
76ers vs. Heat Mar 31 $43 +$56 +131%
Penguins vs. Islanders Mar 31 $47 +$53 +113%
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks Mar 30 $104 −$104 -100%
Panthers vs. Rangers Mar 30 $116 +$84 +72%
Heat vs. Pacers Mar 29 $87 −$87 -100%
Heat vs. Cavaliers Mar 29 $126 +$74 +59%
Knicks vs. Hornets Mar 26 $74 −$74 -100%
Raptors vs. Clippers Mar 26 $124 +$76 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$661
crypto 32% +$20
tech 4% +$7
politics 3% −$14
other 1% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 40¢ $3 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 40¢ $0 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 40¢ $12 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 75¢ $8 5h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 82¢ $3 5h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 82¢ $3 5h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 82¢ $1 5h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 82¢ $1 5h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 74¢ $7 5h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 75¢ $8 5h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 82¢ $8 6h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 75¢ $8 6h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 81¢ $8 6h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 82¢ $8 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $55 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 99¢ $49 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 7d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 90¢ $18 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? BUY Yes 98¢ $9 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? BUY Yes 98¢ $58 9d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 96¢ $10 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 99¢ $59 13d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 BUY Yes 99¢ $56 18d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 19d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 19d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26? SELL Yes 98¢ $54 19d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26? BUY Yes 96¢ $53 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -5.4% -14.4% 80% 0% -14.0%
≤30d 16 -0.6% -10.1% 94% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 89 -19.3% -26.9% 60% 25% +0.1%
all 153 +1.3% -8.4% 68% 32% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 32% +1.2%
10% -17.2% 23% -8.5%
15% -25.2% 18% -17.3%
20% -32.5% 16% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.21 · official $36.21 (match) · 420 history records