trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 62% | 50% | -5.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 67% | 56% | -3.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -26.9% | -33.8% | 47% | 40% | -37.2% |
| all | 15 | -26.9% | -33.8% | 47% | 40% | -37.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.8% | 40% | -37.2% |
| 10% | -40.2% | 33% | -43.2% |
| 15% | -46.0% | 27% | -48.7% |
| 20% | -51.3% | 13% | -53.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 37¢ | 43¢ | $444 | $516 | +$72 (+16%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $342 | $342 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | $175 | $178 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | No | 53¢ | 52¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | $85 | $92 | +$7 (+8%) |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Under | 56¢ | 56¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | No | 60¢ | 60¢ | $47 | $47 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Under | 50¢ | 52¢ | $40 | $42 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 74¢ | 64¢ | $34 | $30 | −$4 (-13%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-2%) |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 44¢ | 44¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 34¢ | 12¢ | $25 | $9 | −$16 (-63%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $40 | +$16 | +40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $40 | +$19 | +48% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $30 | +$32 | +105% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $112 | +$166 | +148% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Jun 14 | $191 | +$18 | +9% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $173 | −$170 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $61 | −$30 | -49% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | Jun 02 | $220 | +$30 | +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | May 13 | $87 | −$87 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | May 13 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 13 | $164 | −$164 | -100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | May 13 | $113 | −$113 | -100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 06 | $99 | −$97 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 06 | $58 | +$19 | +33% |