trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 100% | 25% | -0.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +16.5% | +5.4% | 88% | 50% | +2.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -6.2% | -15.2% | 64% | 36% | -20.8% |
| all | 11 | -6.2% | -15.2% | 64% | 36% | -20.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.2% | 36% | -20.8% |
| 10% | -23.3% | 18% | -28.4% |
| 15% | -30.7% | 18% | -35.3% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 9% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $85 | $66 | −$19 (-22%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $60 | −$40 (-40%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $23 | $21 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $21 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $81 | +$7 | +8% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $79 | +$11 | +13% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $58 | +$21 | +36% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $141 | +$31 | +22% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $120 | +$100 | +83% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 26 | $417 | −$75 | -18% |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $206 | −$206 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 12 | $31 | $0 | -1% |