Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:35:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe07a…2392 sports 12 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$7 (-8%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate75%9W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day92.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -4.0% -13.1% 75% 50% -18.8%
≤30d 12 -4.0% -13.1% 75% 50% -18.8%
≤90d 12 -4.0% -13.1% 75% 50% -18.8%
all 12 -4.0% -13.1% 75% 50% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 50% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 25% -26.5%
15% -29.0% 8% -33.6%
20% -36.0% 0% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 65% · top 2 76% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -20% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$7 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses9 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day92.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 12 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast As Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $3 +$1 +40%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $8 +$1 +11%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $2 $0 +24%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qual Jun 10 $5 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $13 $0 +2%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $21 +$7 +35%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $4 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C SELL Saigon Warriors 99¢ $4 6d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe SELL Yellow Submarine 100¢ $9 6d
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op SELL L1ga Team 100¢ $3 6d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qual SELL VP.Prodigy 100¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group SELL Leo Team 100¢ $13 6d
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A SELL UCAM Esports Club 100¢ $29 6d
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series SELL Walczaki 100¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 97¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 98¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 98¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 98¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 98¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 98¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 99¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 98¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 96¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 96¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 96¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY Leo Team 96¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Walczaki 79¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Walczaki 80¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 97¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 98¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 97¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Walczaki 82¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Walczaki 82¢ $1 6d
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY UCAM Esports Club 72¢ $1 6d
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY UCAM Esports Club 72¢ $1 6d
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY UCAM Esports Club 72¢ $1 6d
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY UCAM Esports Club 72¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 97 history records