Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T08:38:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe076…c28b crypto 137 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$377 (-10%) realized −$377 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate50%68W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day57.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$423
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -12.2% -20.6% 50% 48% -19.5%
≤30d 137 -12.2% -20.6% 50% 48% -19.5%
≤90d 137 -12.2% -20.6% 50% 48% -19.5%
all 137 -12.2% -20.6% 50% 48% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 48% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 45% -27.2%
15% -35.1% 39% -34.3%
20% -41.5% 34% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$23 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$377
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses68 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)137 / 137
History coverage5d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day57.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 137 Trades
no open positions (64 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $38 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$15 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$22 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$25 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $53 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $71 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$25 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $24 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$11 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$54 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$24 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$12 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $33 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $38 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $25 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 333 history records