trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +13.9% | +3.1% | 57% | 57% | +6.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +13.9% | +3.1% | 57% | 57% | +6.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +13.9% | +3.1% | 57% | 57% | +6.7% |
| all | 29 | +76.0% | +59.3% | 52% | 48% | +15.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +59.3% | 48% | +15.9% |
| 10% | +44.0% | 45% | +4.8% |
| 15% | +30.1% | 45% | -5.3% |
| 20% | +17.3% | 34% | -14.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $539 | +$590 | +109% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $960 | −$960 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $706 | +$294 | +42% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $318 | +$182 | +57% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $239 | −$32 | -14% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $910 | +$497 | +55% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $1,013 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway? | Jun 16 | $513 | −$500 | -98% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $1,018 | +$1,421 | +140% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $508 | +$492 | +97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $505 | +$220 | +44% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $204 | +$337 | +165% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Feb 20 | $1,000 | −$324 | -32% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 10 | $256 | −$256 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Sep 18 | $3,900 | +$3,645 | +94% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | Sep 18 | $2,900 | +$14 | +0% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Jul 30 | $1,700 | −$40 | -2% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Jul 28 | $2,465 | $0 | -0% |
| Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025? | Jul 26 | $3,318 | +$130 | +4% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? | Jul 12 | $7,737 | +$1,369 | +18% |
| Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X? | Jul 11 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 25 | $2,000 | +$4,732 | +237% |
| Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 24 | $412 | −$412 | -100% |
| Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30? | Jun 19 | $1,201 | −$605 | -50% |
| Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025? | Jun 05 | $1,768 | +$1,285 | +73% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Jun 03 | $1,636 | −$1,224 | -75% |
| Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Nov 26 | $1,098 | +$537 | +49% |