Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe072…af95
crypto · 110 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$24 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses39 / 63
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions8
Markets (closed)102 / 110
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day31.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 8 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15? Yes 31¢ 24¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+32%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? No 69¢ 1¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 10? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 10? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15? Jun 14 $1 $0 +30%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +6%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $4 +$13 +312%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $5 +$7 +142%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -32%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$3 +274%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$2 +211%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$2 +166%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +41%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1 +$2 +226%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$2 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -41%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 +$4 +64%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 +$2 +172%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$1 -39%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 -5%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$25
weather 29% −$28
sports 11% +$16
other 7% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 69¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 13h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 13h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 13h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $6 13h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 13h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 13h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 99¢ $17 13h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 29¢ $1 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 27¢ $1 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 23¢ $1 16h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 36¢ $1 19h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 39¢ $1 19h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 43¢ $1 19h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 40¢ $1 19h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 19h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 19h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $1 24h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 26h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 26h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 26h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 26h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 27h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 -19.3% -27.0% 38% 34% -17.0%
≤30d 102 -19.3% -27.0% 38% 34% -17.0%
≤90d 102 -19.3% -27.0% 38% 34% -17.0%
all 102 -19.3% -27.0% 38% 34% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 34% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 26% -25.0%
15% -40.4% 25% -32.2%
20% -46.2% 22% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.97 · official $11.97 (match) · 207 history records