Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe05e…2c03
crypto · 205 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$244 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$244 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$244
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses118 / 87
Open positions0
Markets (closed)205 / 205
History coverage27d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 205 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$189
14 days−$199
30 days−$244
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$244
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -10.5% -19.0% 59% 55% -22.0%
≤30d 205 -11.7% -20.1% 58% 54% -24.7%
≤90d 205 -11.7% -20.1% 58% 54% -24.7%
all 205 -11.7% -20.1% 58% 54% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 54% -24.7%
10% -27.7% 29% -31.9%
15% -34.7% 13% -38.5%
20% -41.1% 10% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 506 history records