Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:54:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe04a…07dd crypto 586 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$914 (-12%) realized −$914 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +105% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +58% what you keep after slip
Net edge+58%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate65%633W / 336L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day77.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$657
7 days−$654
14 days−$679
30 days−$782
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$170
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)+85.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 470 +216.4% +186.3% 40% 31% -24.5%
≤30d 870 +117.0% +96.3% 63% 21% -14.7%
≤90d 969 +105.0% +85.4% 65% 19% -14.2%
all 969 +105.0% +85.4% 65% 19% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +85.4% 19% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here +67.7% 12% -22.4%
15% +51.5% 11% -29.9%
20% +36.6% 10% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +105% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +210% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$914
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses633 / 336
Open positions0
Markets (closed)969 / 586
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day77.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 969 Trades
no open positions (392 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$36 +4065%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$26 +38963%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$18 +3504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$16 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$3 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$3 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$8 -273%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$14 -244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 −$4 -5763%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$7 +5012%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$10 -338%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$35 +34127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +520%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$3 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$3 +1766%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$3 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$9 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$15 +1024%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$5 +605%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$4 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$7 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$18 +8613%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$15 -2484%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$10 +6939%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$3 +2468%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$9 +4516%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records