trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 40% | 40% | +38.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -28.9% | -35.7% | 29% | 29% | -48.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -28.9% | -35.7% | 29% | 29% | -48.4% |
| all | 14 | -28.9% | -35.7% | 29% | 29% | -48.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.7% | 29% | -48.4% |
| 10% | -41.9% | 29% | -53.3% |
| 15% | -47.5% | 21% | -57.8% |
| 20% | -52.6% | 14% | -62.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $120 | +$20 (+20%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $306 | −$131 | -43% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $306 | −$248 | -81% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $307 | +$764 | +249% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $483 | +$47 | +10% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $304 | +$149 | +49% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$221 | +216% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $42 | −$41 | -97% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $17 | −$17 | -97% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $2,040 | −$2,000 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $205 | −$200 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |