trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 11 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 45% | 45% | -31.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 45% | 45% | -31.9% |
| all | 11 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 45% | 45% | -31.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.1% | 45% | -31.9% |
| 10% | -32.3% | 45% | -38.4% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 18% | -44.4% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 18% | -49.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | No | 53¢ | 26¢ | $150 | $75 | −$75 (-50%) |
| Son Heungmin: 1+ goals | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+6%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 24¢ | 6¢ | $55 | $13 | −$42 (-77%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners | May 28 | $142 | +$37 | +26% |
| Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? | May 28 | $102 | −$60 | -59% |
| Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listene | May 28 | $104 | −$21 | -20% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $152 | +$83 | +54% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $203 | +$53 | +26% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | May 23 | $153 | −$21 | -14% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 23 | $263 | −$250 | -95% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $152 | +$113 | +74% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | May 23 | $201 | +$45 | +22% |