trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $11 | −$11 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$7 | +165% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $16 | −$15 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | Mar 13 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner | Mar 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner | Mar 12 | $10 | +$9 | +86% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | Mar 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Feb 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Feb 15 | $2 | +$2 | +82% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Feb 15 | $1 | +$1 | +82% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11? | Jan 11 | $5 | −$4 | -76% |
| Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? | Jan 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | Jan 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) | Dec 20 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Dec 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 15 | $10 | +$10 | +94% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) | Dec 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) | Dec 15 | $11 | +$9 | +82% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) | Dec 14 | $25 | +$2 | +9% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3) | Dec 14 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 14 | $10 | +$14 | +144% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3) | Dec 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3) | Dec 13 | $10 | +$7 | +71% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) | Dec 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) | Dec 12 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO3) | Dec 12 | $20 | +$3 | +15% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +32.6% | +20.0% | 50% | 50% | -33.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 33% | 33% | -67.0% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 33% | 33% | -67.0% |
| all | 26 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 50% | 46% | -33.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.6% | 46% | -33.6% |
| 10% | -26.3% | 42% | -39.9% |
| 15% | -33.5% | 42% | -45.7% |
| 20% | -40.0% | 38% | -51.1% |