Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe038…f51c
crypto · 549 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,175 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,297 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,297
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses275 / 274
Open positions0
Markets (closed)549 / 549
History coverage25d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day23.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 549 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$406
7 days+$406
14 days−$787
30 days−$1,297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $710 $0 −$710 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $498 +$264 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $168 −$162 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $251 +$230 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $84 −$81 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$19 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,297
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $113 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $385 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $168 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $56 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $251 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $84 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $9 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +3.3% -6.5% 55% 55% +9.4%
≤30d 549 -5.0% -14.0% 50% 50% -19.6%
≤90d 549 -5.0% -14.0% 50% 50% -19.6%
all 549 -5.0% -14.0% 50% 50% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 50% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 49% -27.3%
15% -29.8% 47% -34.3%
20% -36.6% 44% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 841 history records