Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:39:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe030…db01 crypto 822 markets active 3d ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$907 (-4%) realized −$907 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate50%413W / 409L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day36.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$43
14 days−$10
30 days−$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$1,056
other 2% −$265
sports 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -4.7% -13.7% 40% 8% -14.0%
≤30d 327 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 36% -14.8%
≤90d 822 -2.6% -11.9% 50% 47% -14.6%
all 822 -2.6% -11.9% 50% 47% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 47% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 47% -22.8%
15% -28.0% 46% -30.2%
20% -35.1% 45% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$26 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$907
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses413 / 409
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)822 / 822
History coverage62d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day36.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 822 Trades
no open positions (264 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -29%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$7 +146%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$16 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$7 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $45 −$15 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $65 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $65 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $47 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $5 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 7¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2878 history records