Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:41:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe02b…c54e crypto 57 markets active 5d ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+1%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate65%37W / 20L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day33.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -9.8% -18.4% 69% 50% -13.2%
≤30d 57 -11.4% -19.8% 65% 51% -13.4%
≤90d 57 -11.4% -19.8% 65% 51% -13.4%
all 57 -11.4% -19.8% 65% 51% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 51% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 26% -21.7%
15% -34.5% 14% -29.2%
20% -40.9% 7% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses37 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 57 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 147 history records