Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:06:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe022…6603
crypto · 238 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,232 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,238 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$1,238
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses101 / 187
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)288 / 238
History coverage2d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day1540.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,175
7 days−$1,238
14 days−$1,238
30 days−$1,238
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 67¢ 82¢ $27 $33 +$6 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$531
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $13 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 288 -20.0% -27.6% 35% 25% -13.2%
≤30d 288 -20.0% -27.6% 35% 25% -13.2%
≤90d 288 -20.0% -27.6% 35% 25% -13.2%
all 288 -20.0% -27.6% 35% 25% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1540.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.6% 25% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 18% -21.5%
15% -40.8% 11% -29.1%
20% -46.6% 5% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.00 · official $33.00 (match) · 3500 history records