Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:23:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe01e…35f3 crypto 1483 markets active 15h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$837 (+15%) realized +$837 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate50%774W / 785L
Drawdown75%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day101.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$562
7 days−$364
14 days−$25
30 days+$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$833
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 616 -33.1% -39.5% 32% 30% -29.0%
≤30d 1559 -0.9% -10.4% 50% 46% -4.9%
≤90d 1559 -0.9% -10.4% 50% 46% -4.9%
all 1559 -0.9% -10.4% 50% 46% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 46% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 43% -14.0%
15% -26.8% 39% -22.3%
20% -34.0% 29% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late -22% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$837
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses774 / 785
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1559 / 1483
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day101.3
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1559 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$4 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$4 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$6 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$4 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$4 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$6 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.34 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records