Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:45:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe01c…9496 crypto 1370 markets active 1d ago coverage 58d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$186 (-4%) realized −$186 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate51%701W / 669L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day36.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$31
14 days−$24
30 days−$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$189
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -33.6% -39.9% 46% 46% -20.2%
≤30d 370 -29.3% -36.1% 49% 49% -16.4%
≤90d 1370 -27.0% -33.9% 51% 50% -13.2%
all 1370 -27.0% -33.9% 51% 50% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.9% 50% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -40.3% 40% -21.5%
15% -46.0% 21% -29.1%
20% -51.3% 10% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -28% → late -26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$186
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses701 / 669
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1370 / 1370
History coverage58d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day36.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1370 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +127%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 42h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records