Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:43:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E0 0xe01a…132c crypto 240 markets active 162d ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (294 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$182,208 (+66%) realized +$182,208 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate73%175W / 65L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown7%max
Avg bet$1,145per market
Trades / day293.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$168,981
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (294 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 240 +11.0% +0.4% 73% 65% +46.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover293.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.4% 65% +46.2%
10% -9.2% 35% +32.2%
15% ← realistic here -18.0% 12% +19.4%
20% -26.0% 9% +7.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI — too few recent
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +62% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$1,379) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +20% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
13.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,356 vs −$1,051 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×3.47 per $1 lost it wins $3.47
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$182,208
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses175 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$1,145
Trades / day293.6
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 240 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jan 18 $2,503 +$19,255 +769%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jan 18 $1,388 −$1,379 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jan 18 $2,809 −$2,777 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jan 18 $4,649 +$5,812 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jan 18 $5,288 +$8,094 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jan 18 $2,685 +$7,228 +269%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jan 18 $3,603 −$3,566 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jan 17 $1,631 +$3,196 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jan 17 $1,512 +$5,557 +368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jan 17 $5,205 +$13,351 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jan 17 $5,895 +$11,184 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 16 $9,483 −$9,375 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jan 16 $8,820 +$23,760 +269%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jan 15 $8,643 +$25,312 +293%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jan 15 $8,644 +$24,902 +288%
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jan 15 $5,006 +$7,220 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jan 15 $8,192 +$14,320 +175%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jan 15 $6,870 −$6,792 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jan 15 $8,644 +$20,254 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jan 15 $7,113 +$13,693 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jan 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jan 14 $7,400 −$7,312 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jan 14 $3,352 +$4,318 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jan 14 $5,509 −$5,443 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jan 14 $5,974 +$9,063 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jan 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jan 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jan 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jan 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jan 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jan 14 $491 −$491 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jan 14 $420 −$420 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jan 14 $280 +$27 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jan 14 $280 −$137 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jan 14 $172 +$169 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jan 13 $664 +$250 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jan 13 $496 +$179 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jan 13 $573 +$96 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jan 13 $692 +$117 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jan 13 $548 −$261 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jan 13 $356 −$28 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jan 13 $531 +$174 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jan 13 $700 +$145 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jan 13 $559 −$559 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jan 13 $382 +$77 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jan 13 $54 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jan 13 $523 +$51 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jan 13 $410 +$68 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jan 13 $613 +$137 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jan 13 $607 −$607 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $719 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1,529 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $254 161d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $820 161d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $568 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1,426 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $658 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $725 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $88 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $441 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $834 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $571 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2,715 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1,041 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1,978 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1,785 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $484 161d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $672 162d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1,567 162d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $447 162d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1,243 162d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1,405 162d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $954 162d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1,050 163d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $581 163d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $539 163d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $609 163d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $364 163d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2,048 163d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1,210 163d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records