Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:37:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe018…a22d
crypto · 139 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,263 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,278 · open −$1,470
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,680
Realized+$4,278
Unrealized−$1,470
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses53 / 44
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Open positions47
Markets (closed)97 / 139
History coverage5d
Avg bet$298
Trades / day675.8
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 47 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$750
7 days+$4,278
14 days+$4,278
30 days+$4,278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes 57¢ 72¢ $6,996 $8,761 +$1,765 (+25%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes 40¢ 28¢ $4,906 $3,386 −$1,520 (-31%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on June 12? Yes 68¢ 99¢ $1,340 $1,944 +$605 (+45%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 12? Yes 28¢ 97¢ $553 $1,941 +$1,387 (+251%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 12? Yes 12¢ 84¢ $208 $1,463 +$1,254 (+602%)
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No 77¢ 92¢ $735 $880 +$144 (+20%)
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? No 94¢ 95¢ $752 $763 +$11 (+1%)
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240? No 79¢ 92¢ $518 $601 +$83 (+16%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026? No 71¢ 81¢ $324 $372 +$48 (+15%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? No 86¢ 100¢ $302 $351 +$49 (+16%)
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $360? No 87¢ 18¢ $1,594 $340 −$1,254 (-79%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 78¢ 84¢ $314 $336 +$22 (+7%)
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026? No 79¢ 82¢ $219 $229 +$9 (+4%)
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes 28¢ 86¢ $68 $205 +$138 (+204%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026? No 95¢ 98¢ $184 $190 +$6 (+3%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? No 88¢ 80¢ $124 $113 −$11 (-9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 76¢ 100¢ $77 $102 +$25 (+32%)
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026? Yes 30¢ 16¢ $159 $85 −$74 (-47%)
Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.4B? No 88¢ 57¢ $121 $79 −$42 (-35%)
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $78 $70 −$8 (-10%)
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on June 12? Yes 19¢ 9¢ $128 $59 −$69 (-54%)
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 12? Yes 28¢ 50¢ $27 $48 +$21 (+78%)
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 8 above $355? No 71¢ 2¢ $1,434 $46 −$1,388 (-97%)
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? No 71¢ 48¢ $67 $46 −$21 (-32%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? No 19¢ 16¢ $53 $44 −$9 (-17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $107 +$11 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $91 +$124 +136%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $141 −$118 -83%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30? Jun 12 $9 +$2 +25%
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30? Jun 12 $52 −$1 -2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026? Jun 12 $182 +$4 +2%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Jun 12 $210 +$11 +5%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $210 +$45 +22%
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $147 +$25 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? Jun 11 $1,372 +$25 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 14? Jun 11 $23 −$19 -82%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 4PM ET? Jun 11 $182 −$11 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$15 +164%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 11, 2PM ET? Jun 11 $64 +$1 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 11, 2PM ET? Jun 11 $7 −$6 -96%
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $1,623 −$45 -3%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? Jun 11 $1,937 +$540 +28%
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $235 +$78 +33%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 10AM ET? Jun 11 $22 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$11 +79%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -12%
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $3,532 +$66 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $114 +$13 +11%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on I Jun 10 $3 +$4 +114%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on I Jun 10 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $175 +$84 +48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $19 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 12PM ET? Jun 10 $90 −$73 -81%
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30? Jun 10 $582 +$19 +3%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? Jun 10 $32 −$9 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $66 −$60 -90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $45 −$12 -27%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 10, 1AM ET? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 7, 11PM ET? Jun 10 $3 −$2 -49%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 8? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 10 $29 −$9 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 38% +$100
tech 29% +$3,994
world 22% −$1,527
other 9% +$231
politics 2% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 12? SELL Yes 52¢ $3 21m
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? SELL No 49¢ $3 21m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 84¢ $34 27m
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 14¢ $6 27m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 28m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $6 28m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $30 28m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $9 28m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 76¢ $38 28m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 28m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $8 28m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $11 28m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 28m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $18 28m
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 12? SELL Yes 74¢ $18 28m
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 12? SELL Yes 74¢ $73 28m
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? SELL No 29¢ $7 28m
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? SELL No 27¢ $27 28m
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 12? SELL Yes 74¢ $26 28m
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? SELL No 30¢ $10 28m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $18 29m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 76¢ $61 29m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $4 29m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 76¢ $14 29m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $21 29m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 76¢ $71 29m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 29m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 29m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 29m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 76¢ $8 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +17.8% +6.6% 55% 29% +5.3%
≤30d 97 +17.8% +6.6% 55% 29% +5.3%
≤90d 97 +17.8% +6.6% 55% 29% +5.3%
all 97 +17.8% +6.6% 55% 29% +5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover675.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 29% +5.3%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 19% -4.7%
15% -13.0% 14% -13.9%
20% -21.5% 8% -22.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,679.94 · official $22,679.49 (match) · 3500 history records