Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:54:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe015…6ffd
sports · 123 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,564,574 -91%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,570,644 · open +$6,070
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87,680
Realized−$1,570,644
Unrealized+$6,070
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses73 / 309
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Est. fees paid−$19,186
Open positions6
Markets (closed)382 / 123
History coverage11d
Avg bet$14,049
Trades / day313.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 6 History 382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,753,455
7 days−$1,666,597
14 days−$1,570,644
30 days−$1,570,644
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 62¢ 64¢ $51,932 $54,357 +$2,425 (+5%)
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? No 44¢ 72¢ $11,000 $18,125 +$7,125 (+65%)
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage? Yes 71¢ 76¢ $9,434 $10,068 +$633 (+7%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 61¢ 30¢ $7,990 $3,835 −$4,155 (-52%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Under 44¢ 45¢ $1,230 $1,258 +$28 (+2%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 50¢ 80¢ $23 $37 +$14 (+60%)
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Kaufland Hangry Knights 23¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 59¢ 0¢ $1,029 $0 −$1,029 (-100%)
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) ThunderTalk Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $469 $0 −$469 (-100%)
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season ROSSMANN Centaurs 22¢ 0¢ $3,971 $0 −$3,971 (-100%)
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season VfB eSports 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season G2 NORD 39¢ 0¢ $3,518 $0 −$3,518 (-100%)
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season ZYB Esport 52¢ 0¢ $462 $0 −$462 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Kaufland Hangry Knights 23¢ 0¢ $2,256 $0 −$2,256 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 50¢ 0¢ $12,500 $0 −$12,500 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 7¢ 0¢ $4,367 $0 −$4,367 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 44¢ 0¢ $29,417 $0 −$29,417 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 52¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Natus Vincere 46¢ 0¢ $4,600 $0 −$4,600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Heroic 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 17¢ 0¢ $11,671 $0 −$11,671 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage EYEBALLERS 33¢ 0¢ $5,072 $0 −$5,072 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) DN SOOPers 41¢ 0¢ $16,400 $0 −$16,400 (-100%)
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) Kiwoom DRX 50¢ 0¢ $9,191 $0 −$9,191 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 42¢ 0¢ $2,051 $0 −$2,051 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $1,029 −$1,029 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $469 −$469 -100%
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $3,971 −$3,971 -100%
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Jun 12 $3,518 −$3,518 -100%
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Jun 12 $462 −$462 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Divis Jun 12 $2,256 −$2,256 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $4,367 −$4,367 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $29,417 −$29,417 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,600 −$4,600 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $11,671 −$11,671 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 12 $5,072 −$5,072 -100%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Jun 12 $16,400 −$16,400 -100%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) Jun 12 $9,191 −$9,191 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,051 −$2,051 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,999 −$5,999 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 12 $22,100 −$22,100 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13,048 −$13,048 -100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) Jun 12 $4,950 −$4,950 -100%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) Jun 12 $13,600 −$13,600 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10,328 −$10,328 -100%
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime Jun 12 $616 −$616 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Jun 12 $13,023 −$13,023 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,717 −$1,717 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag Jun 12 $7,000 −$7,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,394 −$1,394 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Re Jun 12 $230 −$230 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 12 $76,799 −$76,799 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch Jun 12 $5,727 −$5,727 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5) Jun 12 $10,705 −$10,705 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winn Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playo Jun 12 $6,600 −$6,600 -100%
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,048 −$2,048 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $709 −$709 -100%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,767 −$3,767 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $658 −$658 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) Jun 12 $18,827 −$18,827 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,300 −$5,300 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,957 −$8,957 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $2,103 −$2,103 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Cha Jun 12 $1,666 −$1,666 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A Jun 12 $19,518 −$19,518 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $23,450 −$23,450 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$301,322
other 2% −$16,789
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $15 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $8 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $12 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $3 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $19 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $25 2h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $17 2h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $151 2h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $75 3h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $75 3h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $19 4h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $1 4h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $808 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $507 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $13 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $35 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $203 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $749 7h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $28 7h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $59 7h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $10 7h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $20 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $9 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $224 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $960 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $264 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $218 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $241 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $46 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-66.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 359 -67.1% -70.3% 18% 17% -56.7%
≤30d 382 -62.4% -66.0% 19% 18% -50.2%
≤90d 382 -62.4% -66.0% 19% 18% -50.2%
all 382 -62.4% -66.0% 19% 18% -50.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover313.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.0% 18% -50.2%
10% -69.2% 18% -55.0%
15% ← realistic here -72.2% 17% -59.3%
20% -74.9% 15% -63.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $87,679.76 · official $87,679.76 (match) · 3500 history records