Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe00f…f861
weather · 257 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$73 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized+$54
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses126 / 124
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)250 / 257
History coverage125d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$17
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? Yes 15¢ 45¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+200%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Yes 29¢ 50¢ $8 $14 +$6 (+69%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? Yes 27¢ 17¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-37%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 24? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 4? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 27? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 5? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 1? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 24? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 25? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 5? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -89%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$33 +624%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$6 -68%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$6 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$15 +149%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Jun 10 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $6 +$24 +376%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $12 −$12 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$3 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $6 +$14 +223%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? Jun 08 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Jun 08 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $8 −$5 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8? Jun 08 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $8 +$20 +238%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Jun 06 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5? Jun 05 $13 +$38 +300%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -89%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$4 -69%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4? Jun 04 $6 +$14 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4? Jun 04 $17 +$29 +174%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4? Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 4? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4? Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 5? Jun 03 $12 −$12 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 4? Jun 03 $12 −$12 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 5? Jun 03 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4? Jun 03 $8 −$5 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4? Jun 03 $14 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4? Jun 02 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1? Jun 01 $13 +$12 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2? Jun 01 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31? May 31 $11 +$18 +161%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2? May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 31? May 31 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 31? May 31 $8 −$7 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 30? May 30 $14 +$43 +315%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 1? May 30 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 30? May 30 $9 −$3 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 1? May 30 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 1? May 30 $8 −$8 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 69% +$86
crypto 25% −$14
sports 4% −$2
other 2% −$4
world 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 39¢ $3 25h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 36h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 36h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 40h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 27¢ $8 40h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 40h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 47h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 29¢ $8 47h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 47h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 47h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 47¢ $8 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 24¢ $8 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? BUY Yes 32¢ $8 3d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10? SELL Yes 17¢ $4 3d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 9? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +7.3% -2.9% 22% 22% -6.1%
≤30d 79 -0.5% -10.0% 28% 27% +1.7%
≤90d 174 -13.0% -21.3% 33% 30% -7.0%
all 250 +1.3% -8.3% 50% 42% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 42% -3.7%
10% -17.1% 34% -12.9%
15% -25.1% 28% -21.3%
20% -32.5% 23% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.62 · official $38.62 (match) · 627 history records