Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe004…a97e
crypto · 820 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,148 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses648 / 172
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)820 / 820
History coverage101d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 820 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days−$18
14 days−$180
30 days−$2,330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $8 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $203 +$7 +3%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$6 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $178 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $37 +$1 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $71 +$24 +33%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $23 +$1 +4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $11 +$1 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $358 −$14 -4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $40 −$6 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $390 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $385 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 9? Jun 09 $26 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $80 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 78% −$371
sports 14% −$409
crypto 6% −$143
other 1% −$2
world 1% −$222
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 30m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 32m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 20¢ $3 44m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $128 6h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $56 6h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $25 6h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $203 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $11 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 11¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $112 30h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $105 30h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $181 30h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $178 31h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 43h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? SELL No 95¢ $38 44h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 44h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? BUY No 92¢ $37 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $36 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $10 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $2 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 92¢ $7 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 87¢ $5 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 459 -12.5% -20.8% 76% 7% -9.9%
≤30d 535 -11.0% -19.4% 77% 7% -16.5%
≤90d 629 -11.3% -19.8% 75% 8% -11.6%
all 820 -8.5% -17.3% 79% 9% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 9% -11.6%
10% -25.2% 5% -20.1%
15% -32.4% 4% -27.8%
20% -39.0% 3% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2423 history records