Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:15:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfec…fbf2
crypto · 21 markets active 13h ago
2.0score
+$1,895 +35%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,895 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,895
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses8 / 13
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$259
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,895
7 days+$1,895
14 days+$1,895
30 days+$1,895
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 45¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 38¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $508 +$1,260 +248%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $522 −$500 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $300 −$285 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $409 +$197 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $309 +$172 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $317 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $419 −$200 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $519 +$617 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $232 +$183 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $349 +$2,035 +582%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $64 −$62 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $81 −$80 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $356 −$350 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $304 −$300 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$2,688
sports 15% −$792
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $105 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $88 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $105 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $106 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $100 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $94 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $102 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $105 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $27 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $80 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $481 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $103 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $103 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $106 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $105 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $105 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -6.4% -15.3% 38% 38% +23.9%
≤30d 21 -6.4% -15.3% 38% 38% +23.9%
≤90d 21 -6.4% -15.3% 38% 38% +23.9%
all 21 -6.4% -15.3% 38% 38% +23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 38% +23.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 29% +12.0%
15% -30.8% 29% +1.2%
20% -37.6% 24% -8.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 63 history records