trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $236 | $236 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Jun 13 | $218 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? | Jun 13 | $236 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | Jun 13 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Jun 13 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? | Jun 12 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 11 | $134 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 11 | $132 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 11 | $136 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $236 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $144 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $237 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $235 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 03 | $237 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 03 | $140 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 03 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 28 | $239 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 27 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | May 27 | $216 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | May 27 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |