Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfdd…668b
crypto · 1397 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$5
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1323 / 59
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1382 / 1397
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day381.9
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 14 History 1382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 13¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 18¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Uruguay? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-46%)
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 0 Norway? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-73%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% +$29
other 38% −$27
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 53m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 58m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 58m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1382 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 5% -9.4%
≤30d 1382 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 5% -9.4%
≤90d 1382 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 5% -9.4%
all 1382 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 5% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover381.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 5% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 2% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 1% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.90 · official $10.90 (match) · 3500 history records