Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:02:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfdd…5585
crypto · 84 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,185 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,117 · open −$255
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$473
Realized−$1,117
Unrealized−$255
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses22 / 54
Est. fees paid−$67
Open positions8
Markets (closed)76 / 84
History coverage24d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 76 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$803
7 days−$256
14 days−$256
30 days−$1,117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 30¢ 24¢ $291 $228 −$63 (-22%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $102 $86 −$16 (-16%)
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $58 $53 −$5 (-8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $38 $37 −$2 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 30¢ 32¢ $24 $26 +$2 (+8%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 12¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? Down 9¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28? Up 9¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? No 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? No 4¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? No 3¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$37 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$93 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$19 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$67 +130%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$8 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $390 +$323 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$73 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$242 +237%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $63 −$61 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$53 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $96 −$50 -52%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $120 −$24 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $136 −$133 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $72 −$72 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $87 −$82 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $46 −$43 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $127 −$120 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $78 −$43 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 08 $211 −$200 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 08 $739 −$137 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $62 −$58 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 08 $53 −$50 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $20 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 08 $83 +$99 +119%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $102 −$19 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 08 $24 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $103 +$62 +60%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $46 −$2 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $48 −$45 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $90 +$71 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$21 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$142 +286%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $63 −$61 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $44 +$20 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $103 −$85 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $71 −$70 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 07 $114 −$72 -63%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,178 +$139 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $121 +$64 +53%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 07 $62 +$59 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$1,734
sports 25% +$362
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 23¢ $41 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $21 0m
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $366 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $141 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $42 50m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 26¢ $333 51m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 3¢ $6 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $31 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 19¢ $6 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $23 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $0 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $16 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 33¢ $79 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $63 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 28¢ $62 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $98 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? BUY Yes 1¢ $13 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? BUY Yes 1¢ $19 2h
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? BUY Yes 3¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-33.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -9.9% -18.5% 37% 37% -13.3%
≤30d 76 -26.6% -33.6% 29% 29% -21.8%
≤90d 76 -26.6% -33.6% 29% 29% -21.8%
all 76 -26.6% -33.6% 29% 29% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.6% 29% -21.8%
10% -39.9% 28% -29.3%
15% -45.7% 28% -36.1%
20% -51.1% 24% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $473.25 · official $473.25 (match) · 388 history records