Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfc8…8ddb
crypto · 255 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses122 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)255 / 255
History coverage14d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day45.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 255 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$26
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +253%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -10.6% -19.1% 50% 48% -19.3%
≤30d 255 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 33% -11.7%
≤90d 255 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 33% -11.7%
all 255 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 33% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 33% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 25% -20.1%
15% -32.8% 24% -27.8%
20% -39.4% 20% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 776 history records