Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfb6…67ed
sports · 1062 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$409 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$466 · open −$58
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$212
Realized+$466
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses467 / 581
Est. fees paid−$90
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1048 / 1062
History coverage195d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 14 History 1048 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$366
14 days+$554
30 days+$568
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $19 $30 +$11 (+57%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 39¢ 27¢ $39 $27 −$12 (-31%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 32¢ 24¢ $32 $24 −$8 (-27%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 3¢ 4¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 34¢ 30¢ $24 $21 −$3 (-13%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-8%)
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Paraguay 7¢ 8¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 32¢ 28¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-12%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 7¢ 6¢ $14 $11 −$3 (-21%)
Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-6%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 55¢ 17¢ $28 $8 −$19 (-69%)
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $14 $6 −$9 (-60%)
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $9 $4 −$5 (-56%)
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $12 $4 −$8 (-71%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $124 −$108 -87%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $14 +$26 +194%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $26 +$24 +92%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $39 +$31 +79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 −$26 -93%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $45 +$25 +56%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $33 −$24 -74%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $37 +$63 +170%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 +$12 +67%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $25 −$24 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$18 -86%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $65 +$16 +25%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $33 −$4 -11%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 12 $15 +$25 +170%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $23 +$5 +20%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $100 +$168 +168%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $28 +$46 +163%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $16 +$29 +175%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$9 +85%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 +$18 +56%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $19 −$6 -30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $64 −$64 -100%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $48 +$78 +164%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $118 −$118 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $66 −$43 -66%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +37%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $30 +$73 +247%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 11 $24 +$16 +67%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $11 −$10 -90%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $34 −$32 -93%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $19 +$44 +228%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $162 +$88 +54%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Venezuela (-1.5) Jun 10 $11 +$36 +337%
Spread: Venezuela (-2.5) Jun 10 $6 +$16 +274%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $21 +$55 +261%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $55 +$65 +119%
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$481
crypto 9% −$61
other 6% +$51
finance 1% −$64
politics 0% −$1
world 0% +$3
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $10 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $14 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 32¢ $16 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $40 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 7¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $7 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 55¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 32¢ $32 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 4¢ $2 2h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL PARIVISION 8¢ $9 2h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL FUT Esports 0¢ $0 3h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL FUT Esports 4¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $49 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $54 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $28 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 56¢ $39 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $3 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $2 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $0 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $14 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $7 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 2¢ $3 5h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $6 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 57¢ $17 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 57¢ $11 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +24.0% +12.2% 46% 46% -0.0%
≤30d 287 +17.4% +6.2% 48% 48% +1.1%
≤90d 502 -0.8% -10.2% 42% 41% -3.0%
all 1048 -1.9% -11.2% 45% 43% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 43% -4.4%
10% -19.7% 40% -13.6%
15% -27.5% 36% -21.9%
20% -34.6% 30% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $211.81 · official $211.81 (match) · 2814 history records