trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 0% | 0% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 50% | 0% | -4.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.7% | 92% | 0% | -4.5% |
| all | 13 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 85% | 0% | -52.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.7% | 0% | -52.8% |
| 10% | -23.8% | 0% | -57.3% |
| 15% | -31.1% | 0% | -61.4% |
| 20% | -37.9% | 0% | -65.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? | May 28 | $98 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representa | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 20? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representa | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representa | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 20? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C or below on March 20? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 20? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Canadiens vs. Penguins | Dec 21 | $122 | −$122 | -100% |