Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf92…32e6
crypto · 4 markets active 4d ago
1.5score
−$2,274 -99%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,274 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,274
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
Avg bet$577
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2,274
14 days−$2,274
30 days−$2,274
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +50%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $2,154 −$2,154 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 05 $150 −$119 -79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 93% −$2,154
crypto 7% −$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-61.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -57.1% -61.2% 25% 25% -98.7%
≤30d 4 -57.1% -61.2% 25% 25% -98.7%
≤90d 4 -57.1% -61.2% 25% 25% -98.7%
all 4 -57.1% -61.2% 25% 25% -98.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -61.2% 25% -98.7%
10% -64.9% 25% -98.8%
15% -68.3% 25% -98.9%
20% -71.4% 25% -99.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records