trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 19% | 6% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 18% | 6% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 37% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 4% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 21 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $4 | −$1 | -20% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $42 | +$1 | +2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 26 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 27 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April? | Apr 19 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? | Mar 30 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | Mar 23 | $5 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of | Mar 21 | $7 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%? | Mar 01 | $13 | −$4 | -32% |