trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 0% | 0% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -51.5% | -56.1% | 0% | 0% | -65.9% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -51.5% | -56.1% | 0% | 0% | -65.9% |
| all | 4 | -75.7% | -78.0% | 0% | 0% | -83.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -78.0% | 0% | -83.4% |
| 10% | -80.1% | 0% | -85.0% |
| 15% | -82.1% | 0% | -86.4% |
| 20% | -83.8% | 0% | -87.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 41¢ | 40¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 32¢ | 32¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $19 | $19 | −$0 (-2%) |
| World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $19 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 52¢ | 50¢ | $19 | $18 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 7¢ | 7¢ | $19 | $17 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Will Portugal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $32 | −$32 | -98% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? | Feb 12 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5) | Feb 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |