Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:41:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf79…3dcd
crypto · 31 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,993 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,231 · open −$1,196
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,528
Realized+$4,231
Unrealized−$1,196
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses14 / 15
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)29 / 31
Avg bet$2,677
Trades / day3442.0
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,231
7 days+$4,231
14 days+$4,231
30 days+$4,231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 51¢ 96¢ $1,013 $1,935 +$921 (+91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 63¢ $1,320 $1,618 +$297 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 48¢ 37¢ $1,171 $905 −$266 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 4¢ $1,001 $70 −$930 (-93%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2,980 +$66 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2,955 +$36 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,950 +$107 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,037 −$13 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2,898 +$103 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2,819 +$127 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3,029 +$76 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,036 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3,237 −$101 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3,038 +$66 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3,349 −$287 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,031 −$3 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3,160 −$88 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3,171 −$101 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3,274 −$25 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2,027 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3,197 −$98 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2,998 +$86 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,040 −$25 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,811 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3,356 −$78 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3,302 −$49 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,898 +$123 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,036 −$33 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3,451 −$93 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3,163 −$8 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3,433 −$101 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1,992 +5108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $487 +$2,516 +517%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,035
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $29 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $34 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)+68.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +86.6% +68.8% 48% 7% -6.0%
≤30d 29 +86.6% +68.8% 48% 7% -6.0%
≤90d 29 +86.6% +68.8% 48% 7% -6.0%
all 29 +86.6% +68.8% 48% 7% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3442.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +68.8% 7% -6.0%
10% +52.7% 7% -15.0%
15% ← realistic here +37.9% 7% -23.2%
20% +24.4% 7% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,528.14 · official $4,528.14 (match) · 3500 history records