Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:28:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DF 0xdf78…0217 crypto 362 markets active 16h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (112 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+2%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate91%329W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day112.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$2
sports 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (112 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 362 +0.2% -9.4% 91% 4% -9.9%
≤30d 362 +0.2% -9.4% 91% 4% -9.9%
≤90d 362 +0.2% -9.4% 91% 4% -9.9%
all 362 +0.2% -9.4% 91% 4% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 4% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 2% -18.5%
15% -26.0% 1% -26.4%
20% -33.2% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses329 / 33
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)362 / 362
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day112.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 362 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 741 history records