Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf66…565c
crypto · 1768 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,122 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,031 · open −$91
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$219
Realized−$2,031
Unrealized−$91
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1643 / 201
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1844 / 1768
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day245.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 1844 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,853
7 days−$2,019
14 days−$2,031
30 days−$2,031
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 90¢ 88¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 90¢ 62¢ $100 $68 −$32 (-32%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 68¢ 26¢ $100 $38 −$62 (-62%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 59¢ 88¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+51%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$49 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7? Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 11? Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$136
other 15% −$42
world 2% −$93
sports 1% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1654 -5.2% -14.2% 89% 1% -27.7%
≤30d 1844 -4.8% -13.9% 89% 1% -26.2%
≤90d 1844 -4.8% -13.9% 89% 1% -26.2%
all 1844 -4.8% -13.9% 89% 1% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover245.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 1% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 1% -33.3%
15% -29.7% 0% -39.7%
20% -36.5% 0% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $219.47 · official $219.47 (match) · 3500 history records