trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -86.6% | -87.9% | 7% | 7% | -88.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -86.6% | -87.9% | 7% | 7% | -88.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -86.6% | -87.9% | 7% | 7% | -88.7% |
| all | 15 | -86.6% | -87.9% | 7% | 7% | -88.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -87.9% | 7% | -88.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -89.1% | 7% | -89.8% |
| 15% | -90.1% | 7% | -90.8% |
| 20% | -91.1% | 7% | -91.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 26? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $1,028 | $1,143 | +$115 (+11%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26? | No | 5¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $6 | +$2 (+30%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $924 | $1 | −$924 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $1 | −$999 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $27 | −$26 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $4 | −$4 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $8 | +$7 | +88% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Jun 24 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25? | Jun 24 | $13 | −$12 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25? | Jun 24 | $27 | −$26 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $50 | −$44 | -87% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |