Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf64…26f3
crypto · 796 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$33 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$9
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses474 / 321
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)795 / 796
History coverage62d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 795 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$26
14 days−$116
30 days−$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan India 89¢ 98¢ $9 $9 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 28¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 72¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Sara Bejlek 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Nava Guy Den Ouden 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Canada 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Over 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Durham 60¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 88¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori Bolelli/Vavassori 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 63¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 30¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 25¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Who wins the tos Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Who wins the t Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Japan Jun 10 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 09 $2 $0 -5%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $2 +$1 +51%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $12 +$1 +10%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $27 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Martina Trevisan vs Jennifer Ruggeri Jun 08 $28 +$1 +3%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Daniella Britton Jun 08 $1 −$1 -68%
Ilkley: Harry Wendelken vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 08 $7 $0 +0%
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 08 $35 −$8 -24%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi Jun 08 $2 −$1 -45%
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery Jun 08 $2 $0 +6%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 08 $3 $0 +9%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $12 $0 +3%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $2 −$1 -47%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 07 $14 +$2 +11%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 07 $1 −$1 -74%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan Jun 07 $2 +$1 +76%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire Jun 07 $1 $0 +11%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Jun 07 $6 −$2 -40%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $1 $0 +46%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi Jun 07 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$34
crypto 17% +$6
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 89¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Who wins the tos SELL Australia 99¢ $2 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Who wins the tos BUY Australia 55¢ $1 3h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 86¢ $23 3h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 86¢ $23 4h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Who wins the t SELL India 99¢ $2 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? SELL Ireland 99¢ $2 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? BUY Ireland 55¢ $1 7h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Who wins the t BUY India 55¢ $1 7h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 26¢ $1 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 11h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 SELL Under 61¢ $2 11h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 99¢ $2 11h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 58¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 66¢ $2 12h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 SELL Under 68¢ $2 12h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 67¢ $2 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 98¢ $11 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 92¢ $10 13h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 97¢ $11 19h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $10 19h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 94¢ $10 19h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $10 20h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss? BUY England 55¢ $1 24h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Japan SELL Hong Kong, China 92¢ $23 3d
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Japan BUY Hong Kong, China 79¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4d
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez SELL Zeynep Sonmez 74¢ $2 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 33¢ $5 4d
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Zeynep Sonmez 42¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -15.6% -23.6% 53% 27% -17.0%
≤30d 516 -12.1% -20.5% 52% 35% -17.3%
≤90d 795 -7.0% -15.9% 60% 36% -10.2%
all 795 -7.0% -15.9% 60% 36% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 36% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 23% -18.8%
15% -31.3% 17% -26.7%
20% -38.0% 13% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.41 · official $9.41 (match) · 2115 history records