Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf58…3466
crypto · 1446 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$308 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$308 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$308
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses902 / 544
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1446 / 1446
History coverage61d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day48.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1446 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$54
14 days−$112
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -43%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$308
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 759 -4.5% -13.6% 63% 50% -14.0%
≤30d 998 -4.9% -14.0% 63% 48% -15.0%
≤90d 1446 -4.6% -13.7% 62% 47% -14.8%
all 1446 -4.6% -13.7% 62% 47% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 47% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 29% -23.0%
15% -29.5% 14% -30.4%
20% -36.4% 7% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records