trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 19 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 11% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 28 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 22 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $205 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 08 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 14 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 12 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 08 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Mar 24 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 18 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Mar 16 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 14 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 12 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 02 | $104 | $0 | +0% |