Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:55:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf4c…4f22
crypto · 323 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,080 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,080 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,836
Realized−$6,080
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses228 / 557
Open positions0
Markets (closed)785 / 323
History coverage1d
Avg bet$88
Trades / day3204.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 785 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,080
7 days−$6,080
14 days−$6,080
30 days−$6,080
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $296 $554 +$259 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $274 $351 +$77 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $95 $343 +$248 (+262%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $91 $217 +$126 (+139%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $113 $171 +$57 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $78 $125 +$47 (+60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $28 $30 +$2 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $10 $23 +$13 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+186%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $296 +$259 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$248 +262%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$126 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$47 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +300%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +300%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,084
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $18 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $50 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $37 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $19 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-53.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 785 -48.7% -53.6% 29% 23% -24.6%
≤30d 785 -48.7% -53.6% 29% 23% -24.6%
≤90d 785 -48.7% -53.6% 29% 23% -24.6%
all 785 -48.7% -53.6% 29% 23% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3204.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.6% 23% -24.6%
10% ← realistic here -58.0% 18% -31.8%
15% -62.1% 12% -38.4%
20% -65.8% 9% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,835.65 · official $1,814.01 · 3500 history records