Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:35:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf43…ae9a
sports · 425 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,699 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,469 · open +$770
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,438
Realized−$9,469
Unrealized+$770
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses408 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Est. fees paid−$2,154
Open positions1
Markets (closed)424 / 425
History coverage25d
Avg bet$4,024
Trades / day123.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,909
7 days+$7,832
14 days−$3,597
30 days−$9,469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 100¢ $9,668 $10,438 +$770 (+8%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 93¢ 0¢ $4,650 $0 −$4,650 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20,017 +$1,199 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $7,375 +$306 +4%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 13 $230 +$3 +1%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $2,172 +$2 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $9,789 +$99 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,652 −$4,650 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $11,806 +$59 +0%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7,700 +$2,300 +30%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $631 +$73 +12%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,578 +$101 +6%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,108 +$34 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $9,102 +$898 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $4,304 +$4 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4,056 +$164 +4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8,146 −$2,546 -31%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $561 +$20 +4%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $112 $0 +0%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $19,977 +$23 +0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $18,054 +$1,946 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $3,684 +$4 +0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $638 +$27 +4%
Spread: Spurs (-19.5) Jun 11 $65 $0 +0%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $148 $0 +0%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $331 +$3 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 11 $576 +$6 +1%
Spread: Knicks (-21.5) Jun 11 $632 +$1 +0%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $885 +$9 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-17.5) Jun 11 $1,913 +$2 +0%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $2,107 +$21 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $3,684 +$4 +0%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $6,696 +$7 +0%
Spread: Bolivia (-2.5) Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-7.5) Jun 11 $17 $0 +0%
Spread: Bolivia (-1.5) Jun 11 $27 $0 +0%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $84 $0 +0%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $725 +$1 +0%
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5) Jun 11 $9,990 +$10 +0%
England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $78 $0 +0%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $29 $0 +0%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $424 +$1 +0%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $2,969 +$30 +1%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $8,170 +$89 +1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $7,047 +$135 +2%
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 $0 +0%
Spread: Iceland (-2.5) Jun 10 $4 $0 +0%
Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5) Jun 10 $120 $0 +0%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2,941 +$3 +0%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $6,212 +$18 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$12,820
other 27% +$4,121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $2,820 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $465 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $3,056 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $196 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $37 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $9 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $45 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $3,032 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 88¢ $17 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $192 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $105 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $27 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $357 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $33 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $184 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $87 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $18 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $121 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $18 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $89 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $35 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $89 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $173 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $68 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $18 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $89 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $18 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $774 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $232 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 3% -7.8%
≤30d 424 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 4% -10.0%
≤90d 424 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 4% -10.0%
all 424 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 4% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 4% -10.0%
10% -18.7% 2% -18.6%
15% ← realistic here -26.6% 1% -26.5%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,437.83 · official $10,437.83 (match) · 3500 history records