trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 44% | 44% | +12.3% |
| all | 9 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 44% | 44% | +12.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 44% | +12.3% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 44% | +1.6% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 44% | -8.2% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 33% | -17.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $145 | $145 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 65¢ | 88¢ | $13 | $18 | +$4 (+35%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 22¢ | $10 | $14 | +$4 (+39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 20 | $71 | +$25 | +36% |
| Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? | May 18 | $20 | +$46 | +228% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 20 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 13 | $28 | −$13 | -46% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 08 | $10 | +$11 | +114% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Apr 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Dominance" or "Superiority" during Monday news confere | Apr 06 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |